The University of Washington has changed its forecast of how many people are likely to die from coronavirus in the US before November 1. The authors of the analysis predict at least 208,255 deaths by then, based on the current scenario.
If 95% of the population wears masks in public places, this number will drop to 162,808, but this will not happen, as most Americans do not.
Last week, the university predicted about 175,168 deaths by October 1, but the results were updated amid a sharp increase in patients in the southern states.
The model predicts a serious increase in mortality and the number of new patients, starting from mid to late September and October. Forecasts may change if there is another surge in infections among risk groups.